Amazon and Microsoft stocks surge on strong cloud earnings reports

Amazon

Coverage spread: 3 sources — 3 center

Lean ratings via AllSides / Media Bias-Fact-Check. How this works.

What happened

Amazon and Microsoft both delivered quarterly results that exceeded Wall Street expectations, driven by unexpectedly strong cloud-computing growth tied to artificial intelligence demand, and both companies signaled they will spend even more on AI infrastructure than previously planned.

Amazon’s stock jumped more than 10% in extended trading after its report. Amazon Web Services (AWS) revenue grew 37% year-over-year, well above the roughly 31% analysts had expected and the fastest pace since 2021, according to CEO Andy Jassy. Jassy said AWS is “booming,” with its AI products and homegrown chips (the Trainium and Graviton lines) each now exceeding a $25 billion annual revenue run rate. Amazon raised its 2026 capital expenditure forecast to $220 billion, up from the $200 billion figure it had held since February, citing rising memory prices. Jassy said demand still outstrips capacity and predicted that dynamic would persist through 2027, adding that early demand signals for 2028 are already “striking.” Quarterly capex hit $54.2 billion, up from $32.1 billion a year earlier, and the spending has pushed Amazon’s trailing-twelve-month free cash flow into negative territory — an outflow of $7.6 billion versus an $18.2 billion inflow a year ago. AWS’s backlog of contracted, not-yet-delivered work reached $496 billion.

Microsoft’s stock surged as much as 17% on Thursday, its largest one-day gain since 2008 (when it rose 19%), adding roughly $483 billion in market value in a single session, according to Jefferies data cited by Fortune. That rally followed Wednesday’s fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 results, in which nearly every metric beat expectations: revenue of $90 billion topped the $87.6 billion consensus and grew about 18% year-over-year, while earnings per share of $4.74 (Fortune) or $4.81 (CNBC) beat estimates around $4.24. Net income was $35.8 billion, boosted partly by a $3.2 billion gain from Microsoft’s stake in AI lab Anthropic and lower-than-expected costs from a voluntary retirement program, though the Xbox gaming unit took an impairment charge. CEO Satya Nadella disclosed that Azure crossed $100 billion in annual revenue for the first time in fiscal 2026, with analysts estimating fourth-quarter Azure growth at 43%, beating Microsoft’s own guidance of 39-40%. CFO Amy Hood guided for 45% Azure growth next quarter. Commercial remaining performance obligations rose 8% to $678 billion. Quarterly capex and finance leases hit $41 billion, up 69%, and Hood said an accounting change — lengthening the useful life of data centers and offices to 25 years from 15, and shifting more leases to operating rather than finance leases — will produce roughly $175 billion in capex and finance leases, with further growth expected in fiscal 2027. Free cash flow fell 23% to $19.64 billion, though Hood expects it to turn positive again next fiscal year.

How coverage compares

CNBC covered both companies with near-identical framing: detailed earnings breakdowns emphasizing capex increases, free-cash-flow strain, and cloud growth rates relative to consensus, while noting investor anxiety about whether massive AI spending will pay off. Its Microsoft piece flagged a specific risk — Microsoft’s heavy reliance on OpenAI, noting that around 45% of its $625 billion in commercial remaining performance obligations were tied to OpenAI, a concentration risk highlighted by Deutsche Bank analysts even as they recommended buying the stock.

Fortune’s coverage focused more on the market reaction and narrative arc, framing Microsoft’s rally as validation of Nadella and Hood’s strategy after months of investor skepticism, noting the stock had been down nearly 30% from its October 2025 peak of $555 amid “AI funk.” Fortune added a data point CNBC’s Microsoft article did not include in the excerpted text: that OpenAI generated $24.1 billion of Microsoft’s fiscal 2026 revenue while still owing $6 billion in accounts receivable, underscoring how central — and financially entangled — the OpenAI relationship is to Azure’s growth story. MarketWatch’s article, referenced with the same rally topic, had no retrievable text in this set of sources.

The two companies’ framing of capex diverges slightly: Amazon explicitly raised its full-year figure ($200 billion to $220 billion) mid-report, attributing it to memory-chip cost inflation and unrelenting demand, while Microsoft reiterated already-elevated spending plans but adjusted the accounting treatment of leases and asset lifespans, a technical change that affects reported capex without necessarily reflecting new spending decisions.

Why it matters

The results arrived amid broader Wall Street unease about whether the roughly $850 billion in combined AI infrastructure investment expected across major hyperscalers and cloud providers will ever generate matching returns. Comparisons to rivals sharpened the stakes: Alphabet had already raised its 2026 capex guidance to as high as $205 billion and reported Google Cloud growth of 82%, while Microsoft’s Azure grew 43% and Amazon’s AWS grew 37% — all far outperforming prior guidance. That both Amazon and Microsoft posted growth acceleration alongside spending increases suggests investors are, at least for now, rewarding companies that show AI demand converting into revenue rather than punishing them for spending, a reversal from the market’s mood earlier in the year when Microsoft’s stock had fallen nearly 30% on doubts about AI payoffs.

Sources

Featured photo: SounderBruce via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)

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