Iran’s power struggles: Khamenei succession disputes and Pahlavi’s fading opposition role

Masoud Pezeshkian

Coverage spread: 2 sources — 1 right · 1 international

Lean ratings via AllSides / Media Bias-Fact-Check. How this works.

Where they agree

  • Both sources describe deep uncertainty at the top of Iran’s political system in the wake of Ali Khamenei’s exit from active power.
  • Both sources rely heavily on unnamed sources and outside experts rather than confirmed official statements.
  • Both note that factional actors and outside observers dispute or reinterpret official narratives about who holds real power in Iran.
  • Both suggest that neither the current Iranian leadership structure nor the exiled opposition offers a clear, stable path forward.

Where they differ

  • Fox News focuses on an internal Tehran power struggle, detailing dueling claims about President Pezeshkian’s contact with Mojtaba Khamenei, including a disputed resignation threat and a bizarre account of a meeting in a tinted-window car.
  • Deutsche Welle focuses on the external opposition, examining whether Reza Pahlavi has lost credibility with Western governments and citing a Reuters investigation on his fading prospects.
  • Fox News frames its story around an expert’s characterization of Iran’s system as an ‘Islamist oligarchic mafia,’ emphasizing factional infighting; DW frames its story around geopolitical analysis of US and European calculations toward Iran.
  • Fox News notes the claims about Pezeshkian’s meeting with Khamenei are unverified and contradicted by Pezeshkian’s own prior public account, while DW’s sourcing leans on named researchers offering interpretive analysis rather than disputed factual claims.

Competing accounts of Pezeshkian and the new supreme leader

Two separate reports from Iran International, cited by Fox News, describe an internal power struggle inside Iran’s leadership involving President Masoud Pezeshkian and Mojtaba Khamenei, who has taken on the role of supreme leader following his father Ali Khamenei. In the first report, senior cleric Mohammad-Bagher Kharrazi, who is related to the Khamenei family by marriage, claimed Pezeshkian had repeatedly threatened to resign and that Khamenei warned him his next resignation would be accepted, quoting Khamenei as saying “If he resigns one more time, I will approve it.”

Pezeshkian’s office rejected this account. Mehdi Tabatabaei, the president’s deputy for communications and information, called the claim “baseless and an outright lie,” and another presidential advisor said Kharrazi had no actual contact with the supreme leader and was known for telling “strange stories.”

Hours after that denial, Iran International published a second, separate report alleging Pezeshkian had met Mojtaba Khamenei only once, inside a vehicle with tinted windows at an undisclosed Tehran location. According to unnamed sources cited by the outlet, the meeting lasted only a few minutes, the two men could not see each other, and Pezeshkian was not allowed to shake Khamenei’s hand. The report claimed Pezeshkian later doubted whether the voice he heard actually belonged to the supreme leader. Fox News notes none of these claims have been independently verified, and they contradict Pezeshkian’s own earlier public account of spending about two and a half hours with Khamenei in what he described as a cordial meeting.

Kasra Aarabi, director of IRGC research at United Against Nuclear Iran, told Fox News these dueling narratives reflect a deeper struggle within what he called an “Islamist oligarchic mafia system.” He said Ali Khamenei had functioned as a “godfather” figure arbitrating among rival factions and guaranteeing their access to power and money, and that his eventual removal from that role left a vacuum. Mojtaba Khamenei’s appointment was meant to fill that vacuum, but Aarabi suggested his prolonged lack of visible, active governing has instead made his authority something factions invoke selectively to attack rivals or shield themselves.

Reza Pahlavi’s declining standing abroad

A separate Deutsche Welle report examines whether Reza Pahlavi, son of Iran’s last shah and the most prominent Iranian opposition figure operating from abroad, has lost credibility with Western governments and with Iranians. DW cites a Reuters investigation from July reporting that Pahlavi’s political prospects had “sputtered” after peaking earlier in the year, with senior US officials publicly distancing themselves from any US-backed effort to install him in power. Critics quoted in the Reuters reporting accuse Pahlavi of leaning too heavily on the prospect of foreign military intervention rather than building a durable political coalition inside Iran.

DW traces a shift in Pahlavi’s own messaging. In January 2026, he posted on X urging Iranians to take to the streets, telling them “the eyes of the world are upon you,” and echoing President Donald Trump’s suggestion that help was “on its way.” After a military conflict failed to topple the Iranian government and drew criticism over its costs, Pahlavi adjusted his tone, saying “the final victory will still be forged by our hands” and that Iranians themselves would “finish the job.” Some critics saw this as a retreat from his earlier emphasis on international intervention.

Mojtaba Najafi, a researcher on Iranian political and social movements quoted by DW, argues Western governments never seriously viewed Pahlavi as a viable alternative because he lacked the capacity to gain and manage power or offer a realistic path to structural change. Najafi distinguishes European governments, which he says approach Iran mainly through the lens of stability, migration and counterterrorism concerns, from pragmatic voices in Washington, which he says are more focused on ending the Islamic Republic’s anti-American posture than on installing a transitional leader like Pahlavi.

Why these two threads matter together

Both reports point to an Iranian leadership landscape marked by uncertainty rather than clear authority. Inside Iran, factions are contesting influence around an opaque new supreme leader whose actual governing role remains unclear even to the country’s own president, according to competing accounts. Outside Iran, the exiled opposition figure once seen as a potential transitional leader appears to be losing traction with the Western governments whose backing he would need. Together, the two stories suggest neither Iran’s internal succession nor its external opposition offers a settled or obviously stable path forward.

Sources

Featured photo: Press Service of the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 4.0)

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