Key facts
- Jaguars went 12-5 ATS last season, the best mark in the NFL
- Jacksonville covered in 78% of home games last year, also best in the league
- ESPN projects Jaguars among teams most likely to decline in 2026
- Jaguars lead 12-5 regular-season record and league-best ATS performance coming into 2026
The projection
ESPN has identified the Jacksonville Jaguars among the NFL teams most likely to experience a significant decline in the 2026 season, according to reporting from Jaguars Wire published in late August 2026.
Recent performance
The Jaguars enter the 2026 campaign off a strong 12-5 regular-season record from the previous year. That mark included an exceptional 12-5 record against the spread, the best in the NFL. At home, Jacksonville’s performance was even more dominant: the team covered the spread in 78% of their home games, also the best record in the league. This home-field success positioned the Jaguars as one of the most reliable teams in betting markets last season.
Context for the outlook
The ESPN projection of a potential decline stands in contrast to the Jaguars’ recent success. However, the specific reasons for the projection and details of what ESPN sees changing were not fully provided in the available reporting.
Sources
Featured photo: James L. Gaines via Wikimedia Commons (CC0)